For active futures traders and investors, the trailing stop loss is a valuable tool for optimizing profitability. Featuring dynamic functionality, these types of orders complement a wide variety of trading strategies. Let’s take a deep dive into trailing stops and explore how they can help you maximize your potential in the marketplace. Trailing Stops: Functionality A trailing stop loss is an order that moves in concert with an open position in the live market. It may be structured according to a variety of parameters, including the most common: Account value Percentage loss Time A set number of ticks The functionality of a trailing stop is dynamic in nature. As an open position gains value, the stop-loss order moves in tandem with the positive price action. hbspt…. [Read More...]
Will Emerging Stocks Get a Developed-World Lift in 2014?
The failure of emerging economies to piggyback on the rich-world recovery this year is giving investors pause, despite enticing emerging-market (EM) valuations. But investors shouldn’t underestimate the power of this normally symbiotic relationship—or the upside potential in EM stocks next year on even a modest pickup in EM economic activity. [Read More...]
The Anti-Outlier Trade
Most people like talking about a good outlier story: Can you believe bitcoin is up over 1,000% since the start of 2019? Did you see WTI crude oil futures went negative last year? How crazy was that rally in GameStop from below $20 to above $400 in a matter of weeks? But trading an outlier isn’t as easy. Increased volatility means you could be either really right or really wrong in a flash. Large swings mean a move against you could cause you to tap out before a move in your favor. And few people feel good about buying into an all-time high, or vice versa. The Case for Mean Reversion You know what’s not as fun to talk about, but occurs much more often? A market … [Read More...]
Buy and Hold Is Dead…Long Live Buy and Hold
It seems that rumors of the death of long-term equity investing have been greatly exaggerated. [Read More...]
ETF Play For The End Of The Pandemic
Imagine the pandemic ending. Well, I am sure you have already done that, maybe even a few times over the last 12 months. The pandemic ended through whatever means, and now it is ‘safe’ to go live your life, similar to how we all did before last year. What do you do? What do others […] The post ETF Play For The End Of The Pandemic appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Beyond the Spotlight: April 12, 2021 (S&P, Bean Oil, Cattle)
Beyond the Spotlight is a weekly video released on Mondays that spotlights two or three markets that may become trading opportunities for the week ahead. This enables you as a subscriber of the Trade Spotlight advisory service to look ahead with us, while potentially creating additional trading opportunities for yourself. The week’s video linked below covers the E-mini S&P, Soybean Oil, and Live Cattle markets. Beyond the Spotlight for the Week of April 12, 2021 Try Trade Spotlight Suite – for 3 Months Trade Spotlight Suite – Trial – The Trade Spotlight advisory service consists of three segments covering futures, futures spreads, and commodity options. At the end of each trading day the commodity markets are analyzed by applying our methodology and recommendations are delivered to you … [Read More...]
It’s too early to get too gloomy about stocks
An unexpected and unfortunate outbreak of the coronavirus puts pressure on the sustainability of the increase in global growth momentum. The fact that the uptick in momentum had only just started makes it relatively vulnerable to any negative shocks. In addition, the significant amount of uncertainty related to containing the virus as well as its economic impact requires an appropriate cautious stance on risky assets. ‘Appropriate’, however, does not imply getting too gloomy too early, as other factors remain positive for risky assets, and for equities in particular. Global health emergency On 30 January, the World Health Organization declared a global health emergency related to the coronavirus outbreak in China. Since then, an increasing list of countries and companies have taken numerous measures to prevent the virus from … [Read More...]
In EM, Beware Commodity Riches Without Policy Smarts
Fixed-income investors often divide emerging markets into commodity exporters and commodity importers. We think this overlooks an important reality: commodity wealth is not the sole—or even the most important—driver of EM performance. [Read More...]
Bitcoin Nears Trigger, AAPL Set To Rally
A sleepless Bitcoin moves accurately as per the plan posted last week. The majority of you agreed that the $80k target is achievable for the leading coin. Here is an updated chart below where I zoomed in to a 4-hour time frame to share more details with you. As I said before, Bitcoin’s chart structure […] The post Bitcoin Nears Trigger, AAPL Set To Rally appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
High-Yield Bank Loans: Look Before You Leap
High-yield bank loans are a hot topic again in capital markets, with features touted as ideal for today’s environment. But we think it makes sense to take a closer look at what bank loans really are—and aren’t. In our opinion, there are a few holes in the case for piling into high-yield loans. [Read More...]
Clearing the Tax Hurdle to Beat Index Funds
Many believe indexed mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are the best option for cost-conscious investors, particularly after taxes, but our recent research suggests that in practice, the tax advantage of passive investments is quite small. [Read More...]
Futures Performance Looks To Be Mixed
Sugar Futures Sugar futures in the May contract finished slightly higher this Friday afternoon in New York, up 12 points at 15.30 a pound as prices are hovering right near a 2 week high. I’m keeping a very close eye on this market as I’m looking at a bullish position on any type of weakness […] The post Futures Performance Looks To Be Mixed appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
2020 in tweeted charts!
Welcome to the 2020 edition of ‘the year in tweeted charts’: a reasonably concise overview of the year, with some eye-popping graphs. But, also, a useful exercise to improve my understanding of market dynamics and future investment decisions. Here goes… New highs The year started off well, with equities continuing their stellar run – the S&P 500 realized a return of more than 30% in 2019, remember – and rising 3% in the first few weeks of January. It seemed, therefore, that the longest bull market in history would last a little while longer. The longest bull market in history! https://t.co/DRLRs6DmW8— jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) January 06, 2020 What virus? If only we knew what was coming. There was an occasional mention of some new flu-… [Read More...]
What’s the Safest Investment Strategy?
Many investors with little appetite for risk think cash is the safest asset class. After all, if you have no investments, you have no investment risk. That’s true enough, but it’s reassuring only if you ignore inflation and taxes. And of course, most individuals do pay taxes and everyone experiences inflation. [Read More...]
Patterns of US Economic Recovery Suggest Faster Growth Ahead
Recoveries from past financially driven recessions have tended to be slow, and so far the current US recovery is following that pattern. But abundant liquidity and fading headwinds suggest to us that growth is likely to accelerate. [Read More...]
Trade Spotlight: Futures – Weekly Summary: Australian Dollar
This is the Weekly Summary Email of the Trade Spotlight advisory service for the week ending on April 09, 2021. Open Positions Long the June 2021 Australian Dollar contract from .76675 (4/06/21). Market last at .76185. Marked-to-market loss of $490. Working Orders Sell stop for the Australian Dollar contract at .75855, below recent low, GTC. (Remaining Risk: $820, plus including commission and fees) Sell limit for the Australian Dollar contract at .78270, near the top of the Channel Formation, GTC. (Reward: $1,595, minus commission and fees) Closed Positions None. Step into the “Spotlight” Send questions specific to current or past trade recommendations, or any commodity related questions to tradespotlight@danielstrading.com. Beyond the Spotlight Watch your inbox Monday mornings for the Beyond the Spotlight video that will “spotlight” two to three markets… [Read More...]
Dig Deep—Then Dig Some More—to Uncover Risks in EM Corporate Debt
Emerging-market (EM) corporate debt returned big numbers for investors in recent years, as the sector rode a general wave of optimism about the future. But those days are gone. In 2013, successful investors have had to take a more painstaking path. [Read More...]
DOW Makes Record Run Late Friday
The U.S. stock market climbed to record levels and closed out Friday trading at their session highs, with Wall Street wrapping up the week with solid gains amid rising optimism that a full reopening is right around the corner. The DOW rose fell just short of a +300 point day, gaining 297.03 points or +.89% […] The post DOW Makes Record Run Late Friday appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Birkin Bag
Hermes is a legendary company. A great company, however does not always translate into a great investment for numerous reasons.This is a fairly large and mature company with 37 Billion USD market cap. with stock up 15x in past 15 years, not bad.If you remember Warren Buffett’s money spinning antennae turned on when he saw a Rich Person smoking expensive Cigar during the depression era, salivating over the profits for the business owner.One of the prestigious products of Hermes is a Birkin Bag, costing as much as sports car, ~50,000 to ~80,000 USD. In Auctions it can go up to 150,000 USD. Money isn’t enough, there is a waiting list for many years. Birkin Bag is classic example of a Veblen Good (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/… [Read More...]
Tomato, Tomahto: Why Obama, Simpson-Bowles and Others Miss the Point on Munis
When it comes to eliminating or modifying the tax-exempt status of municipal bonds, everyone seems to have an opinion these days. [Read More...]
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