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COVID, the US election and media balance

April 10, 2021 by Mainly Macro

I want to start with my last post. It contrasted a minority of countries that were good, were not too bad and the majority that were terrible at handling the pandemic. What surprised me was how willing people were to believe that each of the good countries had some special attribute that explained their superior performance, rather than accept the more obvious explanation that they had more practice at handling pandemics, or just had better governance. These countries that have handled the pandemic well knew that you needed a good TTI operation, you needed to keep case numbers low, you needed strong border control and in most cases that if you lose control of case numbers you lock down quickly and hard. The UK has failed on… [Read More...]

Two paths to controlling COVID with vaccinations

April 8, 2021 by Mainly Macro

As vaccination is rolled out across advanced economies, the main danger has become mutations of the virus, or variants. We all know about the B.1.1.7 variant that emerged in the UK in September and helped generate the rapid rise in cases in December. We also know about the ‘South African’ variant (B.1.351), which appears to reducethe effectiveness of all vaccines to some degree. But these are just two of the better known variants, which seem to be emergingall the time (see also here). COVID variants are the reason that so many countries have now severely restricted travel (‘almost closed borders’) into their countries in recent weeks. One of these variants could severely reduce the effectiveness of a country’s vaccination programme. It is likely that scientists would… [Read More...]

French prosecutors are investigating whether senior ministers broke COVID-19 restrictions by dining in luxury restaurants

April 6, 2021 by

A picture taken on Avril 2, 2021 shows a view of the Eiffel Tower from behind a wooden fence in Paris. JOEL SAGET/AFP via Getty Images French investigators are looking into whether senior ministers violated COVID-19 restrictions. The Paris prosecutor's office opened the investigation on Sunday, France24 reported. It comes after an M6 report said ministers were dining in luxury restaurants despite the lockdown. See more stories on Insider's business page. French prosecutors are investigating reports that senior ministers broke COVID-19 restrictions and dined in luxury restaurants in Paris, France24 reported. The investigation, which was opened on Sunday by the Paris prosecutor's office, was prompted by an undercover report from the French outlet M6 that luxury restaurants in wealthy Parisian neighborhoods were allowing "private&#… [Read More...]

Politicians and experts: austerity, Brexit and the pandemic

April 2, 2021 by Mainly Macro

I’ll be talking about fiscal policy during and after the pandemic at a Resolution Foundation/MMF event in a week’s time: https://www.mmf.ac.uk/resolution-foundation/ I have written quite a few posts on the relationship between policy and expertise, and between expertise and the media. The better ones are in my book, but they were all written before the COVID pandemic. How does the relationship between experts on the one hand and politicians and the media on the other that we saw with economists over austerity and Brexit play out with medics and the pandemic? All three cases are different from each other. Although the evidence set out in my book suggests that the majority of academic economists opposed austerity (a majority that got… [Read More...]

Bitcoin news

Dogecoin Reaches All-Time High, DOGE Market Cap Crosses $16 Billion

April 14, 2021 by

Exciting Crypto Betting Game and Knockout Tournament Bull vs Bear Opens for Pre-registration

April 14, 2021 by Wayne

Coinbase listing marks latest step in crypto’s march to the mainstream

April 14, 2021 by

  • Wall Street banks diverge in views on bitcoin boom
  • TA: Ethereum Sets New ATH, Here’s Why The Bulls Could Aim $2,500
  • Bitcoin Newcomers FAQ – Please read!
  • A Case For Buying More Bitcoin — A Letter To Ruby
  • Institutions Absorb All Available Bitcoins | This Week in Crypto – Jan 18, 2021

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Last updated: 5 minutes ago

Financial Markets Breaking News

Daily Forex Signals

Forex for April 14, 2021. Prediction and Analysis

April 14, 2021 by GainScope

New Zealand Dollar Forecast: NZD/USD Unscathed as RBNZ Holds Course

April 14, 2021 by Thomas Westwater

Midday Forex Prediction For April 13, 2021

April 13, 2021 by GainScope

  • AUD/USD April Opening Range Intact Ahead of Australia Employment Data
  • Monday morning open levels – indicative forex prices – 22 March 2021
  • Forex for April 13, 2021. Prediction and Analysis
  • Australian Dollar Outlook: US CPI Eyed as Chinese Trade Data Showed Import Surge
  • Trade ideas thread – Monday 12 April 2021

World Markets Watch

Market Data by TradingView

Forex Research & Tech. Analysis

Bear traps for S&P and Nasdaq?

April 14, 2021 by

Blog post: 8th day of $QQQ short term up-trend; $ABNB finds support exactly at trend channel line (thank you Vas)

April 14, 2021 by Dr. Wish

The Real Reason You Can’t Cut Your Losses

April 14, 2021 by Bramesh

  • AUD yawns, business conditions strong
  • EUR/CHF to edge towards 1.11 later in the year – Rabobank
  • Morning Post 03/23/2021 SPX
  • US inflation rises, euro edges higher
  • Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc Analysis: USD/JPY, USD/CHF May Fall as Long Bets Rise

Live currencies

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Macro Economics

Coronavirus dashboard for April 12: more good news, more bad news

April 14, 2021 by Dan Crawford

The USPS 10-year plan may have future rate increases

April 13, 2021 by run75441

“…other enjoyments, of a purer, more lasting, and more exquisite nature.”

April 13, 2021 by Sandwichman

  • Two types of recovery from the COVID recession, or how you cannot effectively fight plutocratic populism by returning to the recent past.
  • Weekly Indicators for April 5 – 9 at Seeking Alpha
  • US Trade Deficit Rises 4.8% in February to Record High
  • On Gerrymandering
  • Risk of Being Killed by Police Varies by Your Ethnicity





Stocks Markets

Orora Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Fairly Valued

April 14, 2021 by

Subs: Surging Output

April 14, 2021 by ToddSullivan

SuperM Release Playful ‘We DO’ Music Video

April 14, 2021 by Eryn Murphy

  • Daunte Wright’s family disputes claim officer mistakenly fired gun instead of Taser: ‘An accident is knocking over a glass of milk’
  • Subs: Summerlin “Exploding”
  • Fisher Investments Explains Preparing for the Unexpected With an Emergency Fund
  • Analysis: Iran’s powerful Guard faces scrutiny after attacks
  • DMX Is the First Artist in History to Make a Significant Stamp on the Billboard Charts
  • Troubling Tuesday – Another Shot Bites the Dust

Equities

Maximize Your Profits with a Trailing Stop Loss

April 14, 2021 by Daniels Trading

Will Emerging Stocks Get a Developed-World Lift in 2014?

April 14, 2021 by Morgan Harting

The Anti-Outlier Trade

April 13, 2021 by Frank Kaberna

  • Buy and Hold Is Dead…Long Live Buy and Hold
  • ETF Play For The End Of The Pandemic
  • Beyond the Spotlight: April 12, 2021 (S&P, Bean Oil, Cattle)
  • It’s too early to get too gloomy about stocks
  • In EM, Beware Commodity Riches Without Policy Smarts

Business News

VizyPay Says It’s Addressing a Major Pain Point for Small Business Merchants

April 14, 2021 by Gabrielle Pickard-Whitehead

Annual tax return: How much should I pay if I have investments?

April 14, 2021 by Alto Nivel

Hundreds of Companies Unite to Oppose Voting Limits, but Others Abstain

April 14, 2021 by David Gelles and Andrew Ross Sorkin

  • Tesla used wild horses to lure candidates out to its Nevada factory, but animal advocates say its presence there actually harms the animals
  • Daunte Wright shooting: 60 people arrested in connection to Brooklyn Center demonstrations; protesters nationwide call for justice – USA TODAY
  • Markets Fall Amid Worries Over Johnson & Johnson’s Vaccine
  • How to Go Paperless at Your Small Business
  • VIDEO: McDonald’s apologizes for understaffing: ‘Nobody wants to work anymore’

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