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> Home / Craig Turner
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Turner’s Take Ag Markets Podcast | Interest Rate Hikes, Recession Fears, and Summer Weather

August 7, 2022 by Craig Turner

Play Turner’s Take Ag Marketing Podcast Episode 317 If you are having trouble listening to the podcast, please click here for Turner’s Take Podcast episodes! New Podcast In this podcast we go over why higher interest rates can lead to both lower inflation and a recession. As rates go higher and inflation comes down, money flow will come out of the “inflation trade”.  If the market thinks the economy will go into recession, demand for commodities will be reduced and prices will trade lower.  The grain markets are not as sensitive to recessions as equities and other commodities.  However, as risk assets decline, the ag markets will drift lower.  Time is running out on a weather market for spring planted crops.  After summer weather the… [Read More...]

Turner’s Take Podcast | Is Energy Policy Transitory?

August 6, 2022 by Craig Turner

Play Turner’s Take Ag Marketing Podcast Episode 320 If you are having trouble listening to the podcast, please click here for Turner’s Take Podcast episodes! New Podcast In this podcast we start off talking about Canada raising interest rates by 1% and what it means for when the Fed meets later in July.  We then move on to energy and discuss how much of the price inflation is due to policy and if energy policy can be considered transitory.  Then we end with the grain and oilseed markets and what to look as we head into the tail end of our traditional weather market window. Make sure you take a listen to this week’s Turner’s Take podcast! About Turner’s Take Podcast and Newsletter… [Read More...]

Turner’s Take Podcast | Inflation, Recession, and Ag Prices

August 4, 2022 by Craig Turner

Play Turner’s Take Ag Marketing Podcast Episode 322 If you are having trouble listening to the podcast, please click here for Turner’s Take Podcast episodes! New Podcast This week take a look at inflation, interest rates, and the looming recession.  We talk about inflation from a structural perspective and then we dive into two types of transitory inflation.  The conversation then moves to energy and why a recession is more bearish than tight supplies are bullish.  We wrap up the podcast with N. American spring crops and why we think corn, soybeans, canola, and spring wheat are likely to decline between now and mid-September.  Make sure you take a listen to this week’s Turner’s Take podcast! About Turner’s Take Podcast and Newsletter… [Read More...]

Turner’s Take Podcast | Recession Fears Weigh On Markets

July 30, 2022 by Craig Turner

Play Turner’s Take Ag Marketing Podcast Episode 316 If you are having trouble listening to the podcast, please click here for Turner’s Take Podcast episodes! New Podcast The Federal Reserve raised interest rates this week by 75 basis points, just days after the latest CPI showed inflation over 8%.  The S&P 500 is now down over 20% from the highs earlier this year, which is the technical definition of a bear market.  Economists and traders are concerned the world will head into recession in 2023.  Central banks typically use Quantitative Easing strategies when economies go into recession but due to high inflation the Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada, Bank of England, and the EU all need to raise interest rates and deploy Quantitative Tightening tools.  QT will help… [Read More...]

Turner’s Take Podcast | Ag and Energy Markets Rebound

July 29, 2022 by Craig Turner

Play Turner’s Take Ag Marketing Podcast Episode 319 If you are having trouble listening to the podcast, please click here for Turner’s Take Podcast episodes! New Podcast In this podcast we take a look at the Atlanta Fed’s GDP Now numbers and determine the US was in recession for the first half of 2022. We then talk about the upcoming FOMC meetings and how the Fed gets to a 3.5% Fed Funds Rate by the end of the year.  In the second half of the podcast we switch to energy and discuss why the real problem in the gasoline, heating oil, and diesel market is refining capacity.  We wrap up talking about the grain and oilseed markets as we head into potential summer weather markets. Make… [Read More...]

Turner’s Take Podcast | US In Recession?

July 29, 2022 by Craig Turner

Play Turner’s Take Ag Marketing Podcast Episode 321 If you are having trouble listening to the podcast, please click here for Turner’s Take Podcast episodes! New Podcast In this podcast we start off talking the latest Federal Reserve interest rate hike and if they will raise rates another 75 basis points in September.  We also talk about the US Q2 GDP -0.9% number that came out this morning. That is two negative quarters in a row, which is the technical definition of a recession.  Then we finish with energy and the grain markets.  Crude and Natural Gas should remain elevated.  The US grain markets are in a weather rally.  Canadian crops look very good.  Soybeans will be pod setting and the first half of August looks hot… [Read More...]

Turner’s Take Podcast | Down Goes Grains and Oilseeds

July 22, 2022 by Craig Turner

Play Turner’s Take Ag Marketing Podcast Episode 318 If you are having trouble listening to the podcast, please click here for Turner’s Take Podcast episodes! New Podcast Quarterly stocks came in as expected. Soybean acres were a bullish surprise at 88.3 million.  None of that mattered as traders sold corn, wheat and soybeans into the close.  The harvest of winter wheat in the N. Hemisphere has been pressuring all grain and oil seed markets.  The major driver of grain and oilseed markets since late February has been the lack of export supply from Ukraine via the Black Sea.  Now that new crop supply is coming to market the need for extreme price rationing is over (at least temporarily).  Corn, soybeans, and spring wheat acres are now a… [Read More...]

Bitcoin news

Ethereum Merge on track as Goerli test merge successfully finalized

August 11, 2022 by

ZooKeeper dApp to Launch on Avalanche

August 11, 2022 by Bitcoin PR Buzz Feed

Iran side-steps US sanctions with $10m cryptocurrency import

August 11, 2022 by Bitcoin Warrior

  • What’s next after the crypto market crash? Q&A
  • TA: Ethereum Climbs To $1,900, Why $2K Could Be Next
  • Daily Discussion, August 11, 2022
  • What The Sanctioning Of Tornado Cash Means For Bitcoin
  • Ethereum’s Third and Final Testnet Merge Goes Live on Goerli

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Daily Forex Signals

GBPUSD Recent View

August 11, 2022 by R.Roy

Natural Gas Prices May Rise as European River Woes Threaten Energy Supply

August 11, 2022 by Thomas Westwater

USD Bullish Bias

August 10, 2022 by R.Roy

  • Midday Forex Prediction For August 10, 2022
  • Gold Price Forecast: Gold Continues Support Bounce, Builds Rising Wedge
  • Goose24 Review – A welcoming place to trade popular markets?
  • Forex for August 10, 2022. Prediction and Analysis
  • Australian Dollar Steady as China CPI Comes in Cool Ahead of US CPI. Will it Hit AUD/USD?

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Forex Research & Tech. Analysis

Blog Post: Day 18 of $QQQ short term up-trend; GMI=6 for first time since 11/18/2021! 6 stocks that passed my Weekly Green Bar scan

August 11, 2022 by Dr. Wish

S&P sneaks a breakout

August 11, 2022 by

LTTS Bata India BEL Harmonic Pattern Analysis

August 11, 2022 by Bramesh

  • Pink Slip Infographic
  • GBP/USD soars as US inflation falls
  • Morning Post 07/20/2022 SPX
  • AUD/USD moves closer to 0.7100 amid risk-on, eyes two-month high set on Wednesday
  • Inflation decelerates, Nasdaq’s 20% rebound, bitcoin surges

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Macro Economics

Government spending is not limited by tax revenues or borrowing, but it isn’t limited by the productive capacity of the economy either.

August 11, 2022 by

You can fool some of the people….

August 11, 2022 by

Macronutrient Calculator – Calculate Your Macros Here

August 11, 2022 by Team Anabolicco

  • What Was in My In-Box
  • The origins of mediamacro, and how to consign it to history
  • A day at Del Mar with the great Trevor Denman….
  • Basques In America
  • The 1970s: myths of left and right about inflation and trade unions





Stocks Markets

Top 5 2nd Quarter Trades of Goldstein Munger & Associates

August 11, 2022 by

Who Wrote Miranda Lambert’s ‘Strange’ and What the Song Is About

August 11, 2022 by Eryn Murphy

The FBI was tipped off by an informer close to Trump who guided them to where documents were kept, according to reports

August 11, 2022 by

  • China-US tensions: how global trade began splitting into two blocs
  • NIO: Mounting Headwinds Batter Investor Confidence
  • ‘Locke & Key’ Season 3: A Guide to the New Cast and Characters
  • In Mississippi, a trespasser, a killing and DEA meddling
  • Why searching an ex-president’s estate is not easily done – 4 important things to know about the FBI’s search of Mar-a-Lago
  • End of the Month Summary – August 2021

Equities

Of human stupidity and developing countries business models

August 11, 2022 by Amit Arora

What they don’t teach you at Business Schools (Harvard or not)

August 10, 2022 by Amit Arora

The Differences Between Buying vs Selling Options

August 10, 2022 by Daniels Trading

  • FMCG Babas of India
  • Investing rules – Maximise money per hour of research
  • Life and Equities | Permanently moved blog
  • Turner’s Take Ag Markets Podcast | Interest Rate Hikes, Recession Fears, and Summer Weather
  • The momentum for fiscal stimulus is building

Business News

12 Cheapest Places to Buy Printer Ink Online

August 11, 2022 by Samantha Lile

How to Showcase Your Expertise and Become a Thought Leader

August 11, 2022 by Katerina Antonova

Some Justice Department officials chafe at silence on Mar-a-Lago search – CNN

August 11, 2022 by

  • Mar-a-Lago raid live updates: Trump benefits from announcing raid on his home, can paint himself as the ‘victim’
  • New Gmail Design Integrates Workspace and Chat Features
  • Elon Musk Sells $7 Billion in Tesla Stock for Twitter Deal
  • 11 Ways to Brand Yourself as a Speaker
  • Republicans pounce on FBI raid at Mar-a-Lago to solicit campaign funds – The Guardian US

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