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On Concentrated Positions

May 26, 2022 by David Merkel

Photo Credit: John.U || Look at all those eggs in one basket! The owner *is* watching it carefully, right? Jason Zweig recent wrote an article on owning stock in the company that you work for. Then today in his WSJ newsletter he asked the following question: What’s the most concentrated investment position you’ve ever had? (In other words, what single investment made up the greatest proportion of your portfolio?) Did it work out well or poorly? What did you learn from it? I have one article to answer both questions called Life with Wife. It’s a cute article which runs through two times in my life where I had an overly concentrated investment position. The first one was regarding The St. Paul … [Read More...]

Changing Direction Slightly

May 25, 2022 by David Merkel

Photo Credit: mark m || Every now and then, a change in tactics is justified In 1994, there did come a limit where valuations of long debt undershot and started to come back. After more thought, the short-term yield effect of convexity hedging probably peaks out around 2.5-3.0% on 30-year mortgages. Unless the Fed becomes an aggressive seller of the their long bonds, and now-long MBS, I don’t see long rates going past their recent highs. As such, I am likely to begin buying a little bit of long Treasuries as a hedge against market weakness induced by the likely Fed overshoot. Recently the short-term correlation between stocks and 30-year Treasuries has seemed to go back to stocks down, bonds up, and vice-versa. … [Read More...]

The Scale Versus the Casino

May 20, 2022 by David Merkel

Photo Credits: Jen and www.david baxendale.com with help from pinetools || The casino is exciting. The scale is honest and unrelenting. I want to give an update to one of the major concepts of Ben Graham, in order to make it fit the modern era better. Ben Graham said: “In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.”https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/831517-in-the-short-run-the-market-is-a-voting-machine quoted from The Intelligent Investor So let me modify it: In the short run, the market is a casino, but in the long run, it is a scale. Is this an improvement? Probably not, but speculation has become so rampant that … [Read More...]

Capital One Venture Rewards Credit Card: 2X Miles on All Purchase + 75,000 Bonus Miles Offer

May 19, 2022 by Jonathan Ping

Offer increased to 75k. The Capital One Venture Rewards credit card is their premium travel rewards card with unlimited 2x miles per dollars on all purchases. 75,000 miles can be redeemed as a $750 credit towards any travel purchase made with the card (any airline, any hotel, AirBNB stays, Uber rides, no blackout dates). Here are the highlights: One-time 75,000 bonus miles once you spend $4,000 on purchases within 3 months from account opening, equal to $750 in travel Flat 2X miles on ALL purchases. Up to $100 application fee credit for Global Entry or TSA PreCheck. Earn 5X miles on hotels and rental cars booked through Capital One Travel, where you’ll get our best prices on thousands of trip options Use your miles to get reimbursed for … [Read More...]

This Is The City Where People Spend The Least Time Going To Work

May 15, 2022 by Douglas A. McIntyre

Commuting changed almost entirely in most cities in the earliest months of the COVID-19 pandemic, and occasionally after that period. As offices closed, in some metro areas commuting traffic was cut… [Read More...]

Welcome Back to 1994! [Redux]

May 10, 2022 by David Merkel

Image Credit: Aleph Blog with help from FRED || Look at the mortgage rates fly! Okay, you might or might not remember the last piece. But since that time, 30-year mortgage rates have risen more than 1%. Is the Fed dawdling? Maybe, but the greater threat is that they become too aggressive, and blow up the financial economy, leading us into another decade-long bout of financial repression. As it stands right now, mortgage rates are in a self-reinforcing rising cycle, and it will not end until the Fed raises the Fed funds rate until it inverts the Treasury yield curve. But if I were on the FOMC, I would ignore inflation and the labor markets, and I would watch the financial economy to avoid blowing … [Read More...]

This Is The Town Where It Takes Longest To Get To Work

May 8, 2022 by Douglas A. McIntyre

The COVID-19 pandemic completely changed traffic patterns in cities across the country. Millions of people who had commuted to work could not do so. The virus made companies shutter their offices,… [Read More...]

Bitcoin news

No Tax Amnesty for Russian Crypto Miners as Lawmakers Withdraw Proposal

May 26, 2022 by

Never Owned or Understood Terra (LUNA) Says, Raoul Pal

May 26, 2022 by Bitcoin Warrior

Crypto start-ups: private investment goes against the market flow

May 26, 2022 by

  • ViaBTC: Enhance Basic Tech Capacity & Provide All-encompassing Products & Services
  • Daily Discussion, May 26, 2022
  • Improving Bitcoin Privacy With Silent Payments
  • ? Bitcoin Outperforming Major Assets | This Week in Crypto – Jan 17, 2022
  • After Armstrong Tweet, India’s Crypto Policy Body Says No Contempt of Court Challenge vs. RBI

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Last updated: 5 minutes ago

Daily Forex Signals

CoinsMarkets review – explore the market potential of cryptocurrencies

May 26, 2022 by admin

Australian Dollar May Rise After FOMC Minutes Sink the US Dollar and Boost S&P 500

May 26, 2022 by Daniel Dubrovsky

Avex Market – gain access to modern trading technologies

May 25, 2022 by admin

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World Markets Watch

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Forex Research & Tech. Analysis

MACD ‘buy’ signal for Nasdaq and S&P following earlier signal in Russell 2000

May 26, 2022 by

Blog Post: Day 31 of $QQQ short term down-trend; $QQQ remains in daily BWR down-trend, see chart

May 26, 2022 by Dr. Wish

On Concentrated Positions

May 26, 2022 by David Merkel

  • Bank Nifty and Nifty Options May Month Expiry Day Trading
  • Run Away from Home
  • Fed minutes confirm half-point hike expectations for next 2 meetings, another round of soft US data, RBNZ hikes again, bitcoin stuck below USD 30k
  • Morning Post 12/26/2022 SPX
  • Oil higher, gold pares losses after minutes

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Macro Economics

Why are interest rates on the rise in the UK and US?

May 26, 2022 by

What Is the Right Age to Take Steroids?

May 26, 2022 by Team Anabolicco

Inflation reversals as unique markers of Boom and Bust cycles vs. Fed interventions

May 26, 2022 by NewDealdemocrat

  • Rapidly Reducing carbon usage and Deficit Obsession don’t mix
  • Is HGH Safe?
  • Duplicity in The Court’s Rulings
  • Written in 2012, but could have been written today
  • May 23rd Planted Progress Report





Stocks Markets

Top 5 1st Quarter Trades of PARADIGM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC/NY

May 26, 2022 by

Equity Prices Are Not Economic Signals

May 26, 2022 by ToddSullivan

How Old Was Kim Kardashian When She Married Her First Husband?

May 26, 2022 by Christina Nunn

  • Switzerland has a stunningly high rate of gun ownership — here’s why it doesn’t have mass shootings
  • Scottish Mortgage Post the James Anderson Era
  • CO2 and Sea Levels….. Where’s The Correlation?
  • Nick Cannon Admitted He’s ‘Not Built’ For Marriage After His Divorce From Mariah Carey
  • Owner of viral Fort Worth home with driveway pool: ‘It’s not as weird as it looks!’
  • What Now Wednesday – Looking for Direction, Waiting for Disaster

Equities

It’s too early to get too gloomy about stocks

May 26, 2022 by jsblokland

How to Harness the Power of Moving Average Crossovers

May 25, 2022 by Daniels Trading

2020 in tweeted charts!

May 24, 2022 by jsblokland

  • Why Eurozone stocks have lagged
  • 2019 in tweeted charts!
  • Nucleus
  • Birkin Bag
  • Hairy (squared) Business – Radix Industries

Business News

Sign Up for DealBook

May 26, 2022 by THE NEW YORK TIMES

Coinbase NFT Goes Live in Beta

May 26, 2022 by Gabrielle Pickard-Whitehead

21 killed in Texas elementary school shooting: Live updates – CNN

May 26, 2022 by

  • Davos senior execs say forcing staff to return to the office full time is ‘unrealistic’
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  • Guns, Law and the Uvalde Elementary School Shooting
  • Best Bluetooth Headphones for 2022
  • Former Rep. Steve Israel says Republicans won’t do anything to stop mass shootings because they’re too scared of losing elections

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